Objectives
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Here we will use an ODE model to determine whether a 100.9 mph pitch recorded in 1974 was in fact a faster fastball than the "fastest pitch ever", which was a 105.1 mph pitch in 2010.
Worksheet 2.2 Fastest Pitch?
This worksheet follows the basic outline of [10], but here we rely on the numerical solving power of Insightmaker to solve the ODE and its optimization algorithm to estimate the drag coefficient. The reason this is interesting is that the measurement of pitch velocities in Major League Baseball (MLB) has varied over the years. In 1974, Nolan Ryan had a fastball clocked by radar moving 100.9 mph at a distance of 10 ft from home plate. On the other hand, Aroldis Chapman had a fastball clocked at 105.1 mph at a distance of 50.5 ft from home plate. Because the ball slows down as it moves toward home plate, we would like to know which one was moving faster at equal distances from home plate.
1.
Define variables as follows:
\begin{align*}
A\amp = \amp \text{cross sectional area of a baseball} \\
m\amp = \amp \text{mass of a baseball} \\
\rho\amp = \amp \text{density of air} \\
v\amp = \amp \text{velocity of the baseball} \\
K\amp = \amp \text{a dimensionless coefficient}
\end{align*}
Assume that the force acting to slow down a baseball in flight is given by
\begin{equation*}
F = mv' = -KA^{a}\rho^{b}v^{c}.
\end{equation*}
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Explain why it makes sense to have the minus sign in front of \(K\text{.}\)
From now on, we may represent the ODE given in Worksheet Exercise 2.2.1 as
\begin{equation*}
v' = -kv^2,
\end{equation*}
where \(k = \frac{K\rho A}{m}\text{.}\) At the time of publication of [10], no data to calculate the value of \(k\) was available from MLB. Thus, we need to estimate it from data.
The data set we will use to estimate \(k\) is given in the table below, sourced from the makers of a Bluetooth enabled pitch training ball (
Pitch Data). The terminology used in the given table is defined as follows:-
Time to Plate: This is the time it takes from the pitcher’s initial movement until the ball gets to home plate, which is 60.5 feet from the pitcher’s mound.
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Delivery Time: This is the time from the pitcher’s initial movement until the ball is released.
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Extension: This is how far in front of the pitcher’s mound the ball is released.
| Velocity (mph) | Time to Plate (s) | Delivery Time (s) | Extension (ft) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 1.2 | 0.74 | 5.1 |
| 83.7 | 1.3 | 0.84 | 6.2 |
| 79.3 | 1.25 | 0.79 | 4.1 |
| 83.6 | 1.4 | 0.95 | 4.8 |
| 82.3 | 1.21 | 0.75 | 5.7 |
| 85.7 | 1.26 | 0.81 | 5.0 |
| 81.7 | 1.17 | 0.71 | 5.9 |
| 86.7 | 1.24 | 0.79 | 4.5 |
| 77.7 | 1.23 | 0.72 | 5.7 |
| 72.7 | 1.25 | 0.74 | 3.2 |
| 77.3 | 1.37 | 0.86 | 5.8 |
| 76.9 | 1.25 | 0.74 | 5.8 |
| 73 | 1.22 | 0.69 | 4.4 |
| 77.1 | 1.24 | 0.78 | 6 |
2.
Now we will use Insightmaker and the table data.
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Construct an Insight for the ODE model presented above using \(k\) as a variable and \(v\) and its integral (position) as stocks. Be sure to carefully include all units (paying careful attention to them).
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Using either slider functionality or Insightmaker’s optimization algorithm, construct an estimate of \(k\) for each row of Table 2.2.1. Be sure to carefully document the procedure you use for your estimates as they might vary. Note: Some of the rows of Table 2.2.1 are bad data; your estimates of \(k\) should find them so that you can throw them out.
3.
Aroldis Chapman’s fastest recorded pitch was a 105.1 mph fastball on September 24, 2010, and its velocity was measured 50.5 ft from home plate. Nolan Ryan threw a pitch whose velocity was measured at 100.9 mph at a distance of 10 ft from home plate. Use your Insight and estimate(s) of \(k\) to decide which of these two pitches was likely the fastest.
4.
Now (2024 as of writing) MLB publishes drag coefficients (values of \(2K\) in Worksheet Exercise 2.2.1). Do a little research to compare values you would compute from your estimates of \(k\text{.}\) How far off are we and what might be the cause of the error? (See
MLB Drag Dashboard)
